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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290d | Foolhardy-Implement | Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,340 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | kingofcoinflips | Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,647 | +$262 +9.9% | 3 |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $7,272 | −$2,914 −40% | — | |
| 290d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $4,986 | +$680 +14% | 3 | |
| 290d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | BuyDown21¢ → 0¢ | $2,355 | −$2,355 −100% | 9 |
| 291d | exceeding2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$920 +30% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.