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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 465d | Cryptogod1 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $18,003 | −$597 −3.3% | — | |
| 465d | Besiege13 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $36,652 | −$15,893 −43% | — |
| 465d | jhz11222 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $5,379 | −$552 −10% | — |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,280 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 465d | brr694209 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $13,440 | +$8,358 +62% | 4 |
| 465d | Besiege21 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $50,546 | −$50,546 −100% | 5 |
| 465d | Besiege15 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown57¢ → 0¢ | $37,377 | +$37,377 +100% | — |
| 465d | NouvelleVision3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $4,382 | −$4,382 −100% | 5 |
| 465d | NouvelleVision3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $4,939 | +$5,627 +114% | 5 |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $6,366 | −$6,366 −100% | 5 | |
| 465d | 0xfb1c…963e | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | +$1,919 +89% | 5 |
| 465d | brr6942018 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown56¢ → 0¢ | $39,266 | +$39,266 +100% | — |
| 465d | Brundle | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown86¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | +$1,462 +100% | — |
| 465d | tellmewhy1112 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp49¢ → 100¢ | $5,424 | −$5,676 −105% | — |
| 465d | brr6942014 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $22,572 | −$22,572 −100% | 5 |
| 465d | 0xfb1c…963e | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $2,241 | −$2,241 −100% | 5 |
| 465d | brr6942012 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp60¢ → 100¢ | $24,867 | −$16,266 −65% | — |
| 465d | Besiege14 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $34,581 | +$12,206 +35% | 4 |
| 465d | badonkadonk | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$82 +7.5% | 3 |
| 465d | CryZ | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$119 +9.2% | 3 |
| 465d | 1234807 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$169 −16% | — |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $10,481 | −$1,487 −14% | — | |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $13,483 | +$3,645 +27% | 4 | |
| 465d | jhz11223 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $8,633 | +$3,707 +43% | 4 |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $3,480 | +$520 +15% | 3 | |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $1,092 | −$1,092 −100% | 5 | |
| 465d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | +$1,592 +56% | 5 | |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$666 +37% | 4 | |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown33¢ → 0¢ | $3,794 | +$3,794 +100% | — | |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown41¢ → 0¢ | $2,896 | +$2,896 +100% | — | |
| 466d | precision5 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown72¢ → 0¢ | $13,436 | −$13,436 −100% | 4 |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp48¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | +$1,836 +108% | 5 | |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown76¢ → 0¢ | $10,417 | −$10,417 −100% | 4 | |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown73¢ → 0¢ | $2,456 | −$2,456 −100% | 4 | |
| 466d | precision | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp33¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$2,680 +203% | 5 |
| 466d | 1234807 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,530 | +$1,530 +100% | — |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown82¢ → 0¢ | $2,610 | −$2,610 −100% | 4 | |
| 466d | littleyy | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $1,352 | −$1,352 −100% | 3 |
| 466d | precision7 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | SellDown76¢ → 0¢ | $16,234 | +$16,234 +100% | — |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp31¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$3,450 +223% | 6 | |
| 466d | tellmewhy111 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp24¢ → 100¢ | $9,886 | +$31,640 +320% | 15 |
| 466d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 3 | |
| 467d | sww88 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,454 | −$1,454 −100% | 3 |
| 467d | swoswo88 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$1,421 +96% | 3 |
| 467d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 15? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,922 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 14 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 15 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 14 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 15 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.