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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459d | MacAdam | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,305 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | Rin2x | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | Thin-Print | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,615 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,561 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 459d | Besiege4 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $8,816 | −$2,165 −25% | — |
| 459d | Besiege5 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $11,042 | +$2,357 +21% | 3 |
| 459d | Thin-Print | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,116 | +$84 +2.0% | 2 |
| 459d | startfromto1b | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,185 | +$1,065 +33% | 4 |
| 459d | brr694203 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $4,973 | −$4,973 −100% | 4 |
| 459d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $5,480 | +$2,579 +47% | 5 | |
| 459d | jhz1122 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$2,420 +79% | 4 |
| 459d | precision2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown48¢ → 0¢ | $3,708 | +$3,708 +100% | — |
| 459d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $3,328 | −$3,328 −100% | 4 | |
| 460d | brr69420 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | SellDown75¢ → 0¢ | $1,376 | +$1,376 +100% | — |
| 460d | precision4 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $6,674 | −$6,674 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | tellmewhy111 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyDown61¢ → 0¢ | $10,266 | −$10,266 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | BuyUp46¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$1,355 +117% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 20 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 21 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 20 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 21 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.