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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | Devous | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 454d | maneddo | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,037 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 454d |  borabora-836 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 454d | AZwater | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 454d | brr694203 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $4,666 | +$339 +7.3% | 2 |
| 455d |  Miffffy | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $4,147 | +$513 +12% | 3 |
| 455d | THORSUIGA | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | 3 |
| 455d | Magicmaker | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,509 | −$1,509 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | sww88 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,295 | −$2,295 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | swoswo88 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | +$2,303 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 25 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 26 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 25 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 26 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.