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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | Incognitoo | Ethereum Up or Down on July 27? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | −$1,119 −85% | — |
| 88d | Incognitoo | Ethereum Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 88d | Embellished-Cruise | Ethereum Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$31 +1.8% | 2 |
| 89d | easyclap3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 27? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $6,870 | +$2,690 +39% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.