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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d | copyer | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,628 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | rwo | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,431 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 475d | Besiege7 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $13,513 | −$90 −0.7% | — |
| 475d | threrer3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $12,114 | +$95 +0.8% | 2 |
| 475d | Thin-Print | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 475d | jhz1122 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 475d | threrer3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $15,581 | −$474 −3.0% | — |
| 475d | MIA6900 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,199 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 475d | precision3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $8,060 | +$1,734 +22% | 3 |
| 475d |  JaidenAnimations | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 2 |
| 475d | jhz1122 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 3 |
| 475d | jjin1112 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$95 +5.3% | 2 |
| 475d | Besiege6 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $11,085 | +$915 +8.3% | 3 |
| 475d |  50StackSteve | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $4,238 | +$807 +19% | 3 |
| 475d | brr694205 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $9,897 | +$5,079 +51% | 4 |
| 475d | brr694202 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp57¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | −$1,839 −77% | — |
| 475d | copyer | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,450 | +$182 +5.3% | 2 |
| 475d | precision | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | −$289 −18% | — |
| 475d |  HaileyWelch | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $3,139 | +$885 +28% | 3 |
| 475d | GOI | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,768 | +$1,232 +33% | 4 |
| 475d | sinhane | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 4 |
| 475d | brr694203 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $7,705 | −$7,705 −100% | 4 |
| 476d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp61¢ → 100¢ | $4,078 | −$2,608 −64% | — |
| 476d | brr694204 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellDown55¢ → 0¢ | $6,626 | +$6,626 +100% | — |
| 476d | Mraka | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp60¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | −$1,555 −67% | — |
| 476d | Mraka | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp48¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | +$2,027 +109% | 4 |
| 476d | precision | Ethereum Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $2,315 | −$2,315 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 4 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 5 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 4 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 5 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.