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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106d | prop-y2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,159 | +$64 +2.0% | 2 |
| 106d | gobblewobble2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $4,528 | +$540 +12% | 3 |
| 106d |  HaileyWelch2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $4,706 | +$1,051 +22% | 4 |
| 106d | E9tieXt5vng965qYk | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | SellUp83¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | −$408 −20% | — |
| 106d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$369 +19% | 3 |
| 106d | E9tieXt5vng965qYk | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$968 +65% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.