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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224d | hyperzhao | Ethereum Up or Down on March 13? | SellDown25¢ → 0¢ | $2,694 | +$2,694 +100% | — |
| 224d | kederrac2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on March 13? | BuyDown42¢ → 0¢ | $3,201 | −$3,201 −100% | 6 |
| 224d | Elderly-Hospitalisation | Ethereum Up or Down on March 13? | BuyDown19¢ → 0¢ | $1,308 | −$1,308 −100% | 6 |
| 224d |  coinman22 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on March 13? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$3,176 +114% | 5 |
| 225d | Grounded-Spokeswoman | Ethereum Up or Down on March 13? | BuyDown57¢ → 0¢ | $1,193 | −$1,193 −100% | 6 |
| 225d | hyperzhao | Ethereum Up or Down on March 13? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,066 | −$1,066 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.