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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | Humble-Priest | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,235 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 222d | wkhegkudkc. | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$51 +1.7% | 2 |
| 222d | Dimpled-Croissant | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$397 −28% | — |
| 222d | Grounded-Spokeswoman | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$227 +18% | 4 |
| 222d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | −$83 −6.3% | — |
| 223d | Humble-Priest | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$67 +3.1% | 2 |
| 223d | uiskdow | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | +$524 +33% | 4 |
| 223d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $986 | +$408 +41% | 4 |
| 223d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | SellDown40¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | +$1,022 +100% | — |
defaulter28 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.