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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | satrader88pm | Ethereum Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,397 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 233d | deeeadf | Ethereum Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,560 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 233d | 5f5a | Ethereum Up or Down on March 4? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.