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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | KHtrader | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,455 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $4,499 | +$1,125 +25% | 4 | |
| 231d | hackers | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | BuyDown79¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$394 +27% | 4 |
| 231d | 0SH0 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | BuyDown79¢ → 100¢ | $2,173 | +$577 +27% | 4 |
| 231d | HusbandWife | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $8,550 | +$2,700 +32% | 4 |
| 231d | Grounded-SpokeswomanNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $2,395 | +$1,018 +42% | 6 |
| 231d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 6? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,795 | −$1,795 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.