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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525d | 0x2Fd2C33E0DF6883B797662c721BA39601A86Fd272 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $10,048 | −$600 −6.0% | — |
| 525d | W-W | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp>99¢ | $9,218 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 525d | spark1 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,293 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 525d |  Mortician | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 525d | W1nner | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,995 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 525d | CapMeng | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 525d | sinhane | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | −$39 −2.4% | — |
| 525d | Mortician3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $6,069 | +$285 +4.7% | 2 |
| 525d | dfgfbv16 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $22,317 | +$5,579 +25% | 2 |
| 525d | dfgfbv17 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp73¢ → 100¢ | $21,984 | −$8,331 −38% | — |
| 525d | AZwater | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$154 +12% | 2 |
| 525d |  infinitystones | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | −$162 −9.9% | — |
| 525d | 0x2Fd2C33E0DF6883B797662c721BA39601A86Fd27 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $4,885 | +$425 +8.7% | 2 |
| 525d | W-W | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $8,443 | +$785 +9.3% | 2 |
| 525d |  plantardisease2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,421 | +$567 +23% | 4 |
| 525d | bc12346 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $11,583 | +$6,997 +60% | 4 |
| 525d | 0xfdc072df1e4c7d91334cf622d0520d51aef5e6a | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown20¢ → 0¢ | $1,672 | −$1,672 −100% | 5 |
| 525d | RolyPoliOli | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$220 +22% | 2 |
| 525d |  WePrint | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | −$1,058 −25% | — |
| 525d | WePrint | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $4,079 | +$1,218 +30% | 2 |
| 525d | 0xc5677984564567498468478972 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $3,604 | +$1,017 +28% | 3 |
| 525d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$381 +14% | 3 |
| 525d | TractorFund | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$185 +16% | 3 |
| 525d | sdai | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | −$318 −19% | — |
| 525d | bc1234 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | SellUp66¢ → 100¢ | $7,261 | −$3,723 −51% | — |
| 525d |  HaileyWelch3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown34¢ → 0¢ | $3,976 | −$3,976 −100% | 8 |
| 525d | Iamlonely3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $17,024 | −$17,024 −100% | 4 |
| 525d |  vrooo0m | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 4 |
| 525d | plantardisease | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | −$1,720 −100% | 4 |
| 525d | HaileyWelch3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp39¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$9,100 +154% | 8 |
| 525d | JackWyatt | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$6,214 +138% | 6 |
| 525d | timeone2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $3,850 | +$6,440 +167% | 7 |
| 525d | justTrying-460 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown68¢ → 0¢ | $2,036 | −$2,036 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 15 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 16 May '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 15 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 16 May '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.