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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d |  Facaie | Ethereum Up or Down on May 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,375 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  noreasapa | Ethereum Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,071 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 173d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045210 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $21,530 | +$7,230 +34% | 4 |
| 173d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 3? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 4 |
| 174d | fred4332 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 3? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$1,800 +82% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.