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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354d | AZwater | Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,549 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | 0xb85e5c96b0fa57aa9d5ce7ca6ea72409034b6e02 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $4,397 | +$83 +1.9% | 2 |
| 354d | easyclap2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $6,725 | +$311 +4.6% | 2 |
| 354d | dlgochan | Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,005 | +$49 +1.2% | 2 |
| 354d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | +$248 +14% | 3 |
| 355d | Ironclad-EligibilityNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.