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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 373d | exceeding4 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | SellDown88¢ → 100¢ | $9,799 | −$1,289 −13% | — |
| 373d | Hashbrown | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
| 373d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$698 +54% | 5 |
| 373d | REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $1,835 | −$1,835 −100% | 5 |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | SellUp68¢ → 0¢ | $3,400 | +$3,400 +100% | — | |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown27¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$3,650 +270% | 5 | |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $2,650 | −$2,650 −100% | 4 | |
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $4,333 | −$4,333 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.