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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 386d | affs20791 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | −$373 −18% | — |
| 386d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | SellDown30¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | +$1,166 +100% | — |
| 386d |  coinman23 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $4,412 | −$4,412 −100% | 11 |
| 386d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $1,503 | −$1,503 −100% | 6 |
| 386d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f3 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$128 +7.5% | 3 |
| 386d | coinman23 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $10,289 | +$1,710 +17% | 3 |
| 386d | affs20791 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$200 +8.7% | 3 |
| 386d | yuandufushu | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$409 +14% | 3 |
| 386d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $2,683 | +$437 +16% | 3 |
| 386d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $3,918 | −$1,131 −29% | — |
| 387d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 2? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$2,034 +92% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 1 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 2 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.