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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367d | Sharky6999 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,773 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 2 |
| 367d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | −$83 −2.8% | — |
| 367d | eafasdf | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,078 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | amroy | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | adfsa | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,748 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 368d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,658 | +$30 +0.8% | 2 |
| 368d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $16,099 | +$5,156 +32% | 4 | |
| 368d | Thin-Print2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $3,616 | +$402 +11% | 3 |
| 368d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BuyDown21¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.