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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | −46 pts | — | 3¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $44.1K | in 4h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | Identical-Schooner | Ethereum Up or Down on October 24? | BuyDown95¢ → 96¢ | $1,490 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 4h | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 24? | BuyDown93¢ → 96¢ | $2,020 | +$76 +3.8% | 3 |
| 12h | fred4332 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 24? | SellDown88¢ → 96¢ | $1,768 | −$161 −9.1% | — |
| 18h | fred4332 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 24? | BuyDown52¢ → 96¢ | $1,043 | +$886 +85% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 4%.