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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362d |  jooshi | Ethereum Up or Down on October 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,906 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 362d | AZwater2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,260 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 362d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$740 +59% | 4 |
| 363d | ArbHedge | Ethereum Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $5,300 | +$2,759 +52% | 4 |
| 363d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$935 +79% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 25 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 25 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.