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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| France | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 854d |  Joe-Biden5 fills | France | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $22,375 | −$22,375 −100% | 12 |
| 854d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | France | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$804 +67% | 4 |
| 854d |  Endgametheory2 fills | France | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $3,067 | +$2,313 +75% | 4 |
| 854d | Twe4k | France | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 854d | Dolcedeucy2 fills | France | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $6,840 | +$5,160 +75% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.