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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840d | Kapii | Spain | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 4 |
| 841d | Spain | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $10,315 | +$5,802 +56% | 12 | |
| 841d | henlo42 | Germany | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 12 |
| 841d | jun7 | Spain | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$722 +56% | 12 |
| 841d | Spain | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$896 +56% | 12 | |
| 841d | alondon2 fills | Spain | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,568 | +$1,444 +56% | 12 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.