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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 849d | FC39883 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,341 | +$1,197 +16% | 4 |
| 849d |  Joe-Biden10 fills | Ukraine | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $50,955 | −$50,955 −100% | 12 |
| 849d |  0943 | Ukraine | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$242 −22% | — |
| 849d | ok2606 | Ukraine | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,295 | +$675 +20% | 4 |
| 849d |  Anjun | Ukraine | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$240 +20% | 4 |
| 850d | OlafHolz | Ukraine | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,825 | +$1,366 +23% | 10 |
| 850d | 0943 | Ukraine | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $7,885 | +$1,971 +25% | 9 |
| 850d |  enkan | Ukraine | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$300 +25% | 9 |
| 850d |  Endgametheory | Ukraine | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 9 |
| 850d |  occasionalAwareness | Ukraine | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,774 | −$1,443 −25% | — |
| 850d | Dolcedeucy2 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $15,390 | +$3,610 +23% | 9 |
| 850d |  VibesGreaterRules2 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $18,400 | +$4,600 +25% | 9 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.