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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 100% | +26 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ireland | 0% | −47 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +2 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Latvia | 100% | +46 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Armenia | 100% | +52 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Malta | 100% | +18 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Finland | 100% | +2 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −48 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 100% | +62 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greece | 100% | +22 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −59 pts | −81 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −10 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −77 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | −10 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 100% | +24 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526d |  Harmonicca | Czechia | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | Drowerz | Serbia | SellNo>99¢ | $5,843 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | drndmrnd | Armenia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,408 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | Immense-Literate | Luxembourg | SellYes>99¢ | $4,366 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | pexlibanhs | Greece | SellYes>99¢ | $1,514 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | meropi | Greece | SellYes>99¢ | $2,012 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | expansemne | Denmark | SellYes>99¢ | $1,224 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | trololo11 | Ireland | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,646 | −$41 −0.9% | — |
| 526d | solanaEfimov | Malta | SellYes>99¢ | $1,999 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | PieterP | Greece | SellYes100¢ | $1,274 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 526d | trololo11 | Latvia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,242 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | rbczz | Finland | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,549 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | rbczz | Austria | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,885 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | rbczz2 fills | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,131 | +$216 +1.0% | 4 |
| 526d | solanaEfimov | Malta | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$201 +11% | 4 |
| 526d |  mostobesegoldfish | Malta | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | +$299 +18% | 4 |
| 526d | rbczz | Denmark | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$1,374 +122% | 4 |
| 526d | Barcafanboy | Latvia | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $2,662 | −$2,662 −100% | 5 |
| 526d | affs207914 fills | Austria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,538 | +$235 +1.1% | 4 |
| 526d |  Sivert4 fills | Israel | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,718 | +$186 +1.9% | 4 |
| 526d |  UwO | Austria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,566 | +$97 +1.0% | 4 |
| 526d | UwO | Finland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,870 | +$130 +1.3% | 4 |
| 526d | affs207913 fills | Finland | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,406 | +$167 +1.6% | 4 |
| 526d | affs207913 fills | Malta | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,930 | +$481 +12% | 4 |
| 526d | trololo11 | Ireland | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,578 | +$2,109 +82% | 4 |
| 526d | katona | Austria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,858 | +$15 +0.8% | 4 |
| 526d | Elynza | Ireland | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $14,786 | +$14,786 +100% | — |
| 526d |  dotethguy | Luxembourg | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$329 +32% | 4 |
| 526d | Winninghumbly | Israel | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$31 +1.6% | 4 |
| 526d | Winninghumbly | Malta | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | −$454 −23% | — |
| 526d | Ruvelyn | Ireland | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $16,328 | +$14,479 +89% | 4 |
| 527d |  TheGreekTraderPM | Luxembourg | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$341 +32% | 4 |
| 527d | rbczz | Denmark | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,763 | −$1,763 −100% | 4 |
| 527d | Immense-Literate | Greece | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 5 |
| 527d | rbczz | Luxembourg | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,434 | +$1,271 +37% | 4 |
| 527d | affs207913 fills | Israel | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,406 | +$156 +1.7% | 4 |
| 527d | eerooftime | Malta | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 7 |
| 527d | ahzaemoh | Denmark | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,387 | −$1,387 −100% | 4 |
| 527d | Harmonicca | Malta | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | −$1,081 −100% | 5 |
| 527d | Immense-Literate | Denmark | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,829 | −$1,829 −100% | 4 |
| 527d | Immense-Literate | Luxembourg | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$1,020 +52% | 4 |
| 527d | tiburon | Latvia | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,619 | −$2,619 −100% | 4 |
| 527d | Sivert | Austria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,870 | +$130 +1.3% | 4 |
| 527d | Winninghumbly3 fills | Austria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,742 | +$90 +1.2% | 4 |
| 528d | tiburon | Luxembourg | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$803 +69% | 4 |
| 528d | Winninghumbly | Malta | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$148 +8.7% | 4 |
| 529d | tiburon | Armenia | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 4 |
| 529d | Winninghumbly | Finland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$14 +0.8% | 4 |
| 530d | pexlibanhs | Greece | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$334 +28% | 4 |
| 532d | Barcafanboy | Armenia | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$2,030 +151% | 10 |
| 532d | Barcafanboy | Denmark | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,445 | −$1,445 −100% | 9 |
| 532d | Barcafanboy | Serbia | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | −$1,310 −100% | 9 |
| 532d | Uvron | Latvia | SellYes43¢ → 100¢ | $12,068 | −$15,998 −133% | — |
| 532d | Emryze | Latvia | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $16,279 | −$16,279 −100% | 9 |
| 536d | 24532255 | Austria | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | −$101 −4.1% | — |
| 536d | 24532255 | Austria | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,127 | +$50 +2.4% | 4 |
| 536d | Orzeth | Armenia | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $13,670 | −$20,505 −150% | — |
| 536d | Yethrin | Armenia | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $20,848 | −$20,848 −100% | 6 |
| 536d | Orzeth | Luxembourg | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $13,244 | +$13,244 +100% | — |
| 536d | Rephira | Luxembourg | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $15,894 | +$13,539 +85% | 6 |
TimeTraveler2,058 sharesThe first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is scheduled for May 15, 2025. Ten of 16 contestants will advance to the final. Markets for the countries announced as qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 will resolve to "Yes". Markets for the countries which do not qualify will resolve to "No". If a country is eliminated from the competition before the semi-final, its market will immediately resolve to "No". If the qualifiers, the final, or Eurovision 2025 are otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond July 31, 2025, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Luxembourg means the market gives it about 100%.