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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 0% | −85 pts | −79 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | −30 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 100% | +84 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +62 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −21 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romania | 100% | +67 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −68 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −4 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −5 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moldova | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | zxc368 | Bulgaria | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | CryptoVagabond | Bulgaria | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,448 | −$200 −1.7% | — |
| 160d | Tuoppias | Finland | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 160d | vpetroff | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | Ibra777 | Bulgaria | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 160d | zxc368 | Poland | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,600 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Greece | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 4 |
| 160d | sanalid | Finland | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | S.T.F. | Denmark | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$307 +23% | 4 |
| 160d |  TheGreekTraderPM | Belgium | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,241 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 160d | JackSpade1 | Australia | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 161d | CryptoVagabond | Bulgaria | BuyYes19¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$5,000 +417% | 5 |
| 161d | wolfmoon | Finland | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | +$1,003 +100% | — |
| 161d | sanalid | Romania | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,169 | −$1,169 −100% | 12 |
| 162d | Hud1nis | Israel | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,327 | −$1,327 −100% | 9 |
| 163d | LeftieFTW | Israel | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$2,240 +178% | 10 |
| 163d | bartholomew31 | Finland | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,699 | −$1,699 −100% | 7 |
| 163d | tsihkodiives | Finland | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$4,332 +317% | 11 |
| 164d | ColdMath | Norway | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$36 +1.9% | 4 |
| 165d | ColdMath | Finland | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,958 | −$1,958 −100% | 5 |
| 166d | ColdMath2 fills | Lithuania | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,826 | +$48 +1.2% | 4 |
| 166d | ColdMath | Germany | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,734 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 166d | ColdMath | Poland | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 170d | backspin2 | Denmark | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,805 | −$2,805 −100% | 5 |
| 170d | Uncomfortable-CommentNew account | Finland | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,292 | −$1,292 −100% | 18 |
| 170d |  eightpenguins | Greece | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,248 +116% | 4 |
| 198d | gucci-wallet | Romania | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,275 | −$1,275 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | KevinEvans7760 | Denmark | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$541 +49% | 4 |
Str3sU5,776 shares
STDgambler1,942 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Finland means the market gives it about 0%.