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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Pyth-published price for Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) at 5:00 PM ET on July 13, 2026 is higher than or equal to the Pyth-published price at 5:00 PM ET on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to the next most recent trading day. If no Pyth-published price is available at exactly 5:00 PM ET on a relevant day — whether due to normal feed timing, a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption preventing verification — the most recent valid Pyth-published price prior to that day's 5:00 PM ET cutoff will be used; if no valid Pyth price exists for that day at all, the most recent prior day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) price feed page: https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.EUR%2FUSD. UMA resolvers should verify against the Pyth-published prices for the relevant 5:00 PM ET timestamps.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.