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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | −6 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 0%.