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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Denis Lazavik | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Aleksej Sarana | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Liem Le | 0% | — | — | — · 20¢ | — | — |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Nihal Sarin | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Sina Movahed | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Benjamin Bok | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | — | — | — · 20¢ | — | — |
| Alexander Grishchuk | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Wei Yi | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | out-of | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,180 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | Parham Maghsoodloo | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,830 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Chess tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 11, 2026 to August 15, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.