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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | +10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | +16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | +42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | +28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | +16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,444 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 321d | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,209 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 321d | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,323 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 321d | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,684 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 321d | Oliver Bearman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 324d | Jack Doohan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 324d | XVFlow | Lance Stroll | BuyYes>99¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 4 |
| 324d | XVFlow2 fills | Pierre Gasly | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $2,276 | −$2,276 −100% | 4 |
| 324d | XVFlow | Jack Doohan | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,745 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 324d | XVFlow | Alexander Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 324d | XVFlow2 fills | Franco Colapinto | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,355 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, scheduled for Dec 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lando Norris means the market gives it about 100%.