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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | +18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | +3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d |  LuisG23 | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,732 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,097 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  AgricultureSecretary | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,498 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | idatsy | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,981 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | Improbable-Citron | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,646 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d |  libratus1 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | theonlywaytoknow | Max Verstappen | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,633 | −$57 −1.0% | — |
| 321d | momo-0916 | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,539 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | LuisG23 | George Russell | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$77 +6.3% | 4 |
| 321d | vminthacked | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,004 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h112 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,625 | −$2,625 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | sportbetss | Max Verstappen | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,680 | −$2,680 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | AlexanderTheBait2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,444 | +$172 +2.0% | 4 |
| 321d | AlexanderTheBait | Max Verstappen | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,326 | −$1,326 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | tcp2 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 4 |
| 321d | AlexanderTheBait | George Russell | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | +$148 +8.7% | 4 |
| 322d | Ermann | Max Verstappen | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,247 | −$1,247 −100% | 4 |
| 322d | OrwellFactory | Max Verstappen | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | −$1,575 −100% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, scheduled for Dec 6, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Dec 13, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.