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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | nicdan | Oscar Piastri | SellNo>99¢ | $1,857 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 320d | SplendidAmadeus | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,291 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | Alexez | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,467 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | jpegtrader | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $5,004 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | Glued | Oscar Piastri | SellNo>99¢ | $1,694 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | KBO30 | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,139 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | piastri | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | voidsover3ign | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,600 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | ronaldleeuw1 | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,392 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 320d | Pleasant-Thermometer2 fills | Jack Doohan | SellNo>99¢ | $4,588 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  pythia-trade | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  1lI | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | Iann3141 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | xxSecretSaucexx2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,811 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 320d | sergi84 | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,848 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | tcp2 | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,901 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h113 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,759 | +$939 +12% | 5 |
| 320d | HynjunPark2 fills | Max Verstappen | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,679 | −$1,128 −31% | — |
| 320d | sportbetss2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,638 | +$929 +26% | 4 |
| 320d | AJM962 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $11,594 | +$1,723 +15% | 4 |
| 320d | piastri | Max Verstappen | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$212 +18% | 5 |
| 320d | tarotanaka | Max Verstappen | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | +$338 +16% | 5 |
| 320d | Badgambler65 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 4 |
| 320d | LLC2 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$580 +41% | 4 |
| 320d |  UwO | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $30,285 | +$379 +1.3% | 4 |
| 320d | Immense-Literate | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$549 +22% | 4 |
| 320d |  Bait-i-Kebab | Max Verstappen | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | +$1,095 +100% | — |
| 320d | HynjunPark2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$1,552 +41% | 4 |
| 321d | sergi84 | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$333 +22% | 4 |
| 321d | SplendidAmadeus | Max Verstappen | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$599 +37% | 4 |
| 321d | Bait-i-Kebab | Max Verstappen | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | −$1,056 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | jpegtrader | Max Verstappen | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,536 | +$891 +35% | 4 |
| 321d | 8BlocksCapital | Lando Norris | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,044 | +$714 +23% | 4 |
| 321d | 8BlocksCapital | Max Verstappen | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $6,650 | +$2,460 +37% | 4 |
| 321d | 0xbaa7…52b42 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $4,363 | +$4,285 +98% | 4 |
| 321d | Wooden-LuggageNew account | Max Verstappen | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$564 +38% | 18 |
| 321d | resfeber | Max Verstappen | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$411 +41% | 4 |
| 321d | kil0bra | Max Verstappen | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | −$865 −46% | — |
| 321d |  Endgametheory | Max Verstappen | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | Tiemuzhen | Max Verstappen | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$797 +43% | 4 |
| 321d | sisis | Carlos Sainz Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,183 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | HumbleBrrag | Max Verstappen | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 4 |
| 322d | kil0bra | Max Verstappen | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$1,594 +138% | 4 |
| 322d | headortails | Max Verstappen | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,500 +150% | 4 |
| 322d | irmants | Lando Norris | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$681 +59% | 4 |
| 322d | Polap | Lando Norris | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 4 |
| 322d |  gamblingdebt | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$704 +43% | 4 |
| 324d | XVFlow | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,747 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 325d | Swagger12 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,875 +150% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, scheduled for Dec 7, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Dec 14, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.