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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 53% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 50¢ · 56¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| Kimi Antonelli | 27% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 25¢ · 29¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Lewis Hamilton | 8% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 6¢ · 10¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Charles Leclerc | 3% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| Franco Colapinto | 3% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Oscar Piastri | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| Isack Hadjar | 3% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| George Russell | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Carlos Sainz | 3% | +2 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 69d |
| Alexander Albon | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Liam Lawson | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Lando Norris | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Fernando Alonso | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Pierre Gasly | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Oliver Bearman | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Valtteri Bottas | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Esteban Ocon | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Sergio Perez | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Lance Stroll | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d |  OhneScharf2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo57¢ → 73¢ | $2,836 | +$795 +28% | 4 |
| 156d | Violet-Catch-VanNew account | Valtteri Bottas | SellNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $21,202 | +$238 +1.1% | — |
| 156d | Violet-Catch-VanNew account | Valtteri Bottas | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $21,232 | −$268 −1.3% | 4 |
| 156d | WildAn1pRSHorse2 fills | Oliver Bearman | SellNo100¢ → 99¢ | $14,125 | +$142 +1.0% | — |
| 156d | WildAn1pRSHorse2 fills | Oliver Bearman | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $14,155 | −$177 −1.2% | 4 |
| 156d | WildAn1pRSHorse2 fills | Fernando Alonso | SellNo>99¢ → 98¢ | $10,314 | +$135 +1.3% | — |
| 156d | WildAn1pRSHorse | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ → 98¢ | $11,332 | −$170 −1.5% | 4 |
| 156d | smartgoose2 fills | Pierre Gasly | SellNo99¢ → 98¢ | $12,727 | +$136 +1.1% | — |
| 156d | smartgoose3 fills | Sergio Perez | SellNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $13,173 | +$93 +0.7% | — |
| 156d | smartgoose2 fills | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $12,719 | −$128 −1.0% | 4 |
| 156d | smartgoose | Sergio Perez | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $13,186 | −$106 −0.8% | 4 |
gm4n68 shares
macrosteaks339 sharesThis market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 53¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 53%.