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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Pérez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | shrou | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,074 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | Downright-TootNew account | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,781 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d |  NotMasterFan | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,545 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | tphhh | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,842 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | Thorny-Creek | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $2,600 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD2 fills | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,185 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | NotMasterFan | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,105 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,023 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,127 | +$33 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | Zorro69 | George Russell | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 230d | case11 | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,179 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 230d |  Boss7 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | gjfdk8ef4gty6 | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $1,487 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | premiumpaper | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,048 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | Lucyher | George Russell | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | +$143 +9.4% | 5 |
| 230d | Arid-Hurdle3 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,402 | +$53 +0.8% | 4 |
| 230d | Jubilant-Downfall | George Russell | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$225 +19% | 7 |
| 230d | 08AF2 fills | George Russell | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $4,043 | +$1,214 +30% | 4 |
| 230d |  scout2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,193 | +$54 +1.7% | 4 |
| 230d |  hd7773 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $32,306 | +$829 +2.6% | 4 |
| 230d | hd7772 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,029 | +$61 +1.2% | 4 |
| 230d | Rewarding-PietyNew account | George Russell | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 18 |
| 230d | Bluetheearth | George Russell | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$266 +19% | 5 |
| 230d | tcp2 | George Russell | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 230d |  GeepaP | George Russell | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,092 | −$1,092 −100% | 6 |
| 230d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Charles Leclerc | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | −$178 −8.7% | — |
| 230d |  AvocadosFromMexico3 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,546 | +$55 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Carlos Sainz | SellNo>99¢ | $3,683 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | jaytee158 | George Russell | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | +$846 +37% | 4 |
| 230d | Healthy-Soundness | George Russell | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 7 |
| 230d | Secondary-Coevolution | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,024 | +$41 +0.8% | 4 |
| 230d | 08AF2 fills | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,673 | +$46 +1.7% | 4 |
| 231d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,716 | +$60 +1.6% | 4 |
| 231d | retroactivesource | George Russell | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,629 | +$972 +37% | 4 |
| 231d | immune-real | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$27 −2.7% | — |
| 231d | becauselp46 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | −$38 −2.7% | — |
| 231d | togetherfe92 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$40 −2.7% | — |
| 231d | Lazy940 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$29 −2.7% | — |
| 231d | furnace-someone | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 231d | Bicycle910 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 231d | nigeiwoguolai | George Russell | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | +$821 +39% | 4 |
| 231d | AZwater | Max Verstappen | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | +$34 +2.1% | 4 |
| 231d | Powerless-Kingdom | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 231d | AZwater | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,410 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 231d | list19 | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 231d | twenty-render | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 231d | hurtoz34 | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | −$23 −1.4% | — |
| 231d | fold-month | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | −$20 −1.4% | — |
| 231d | immune-real | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 231d | hurtoz34 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$25 +1.5% | 4 |
| 231d | health59 | Max Verstappen | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$19 −1.8% | — |
| 231d | togetherfe92 | Max Verstappen | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | −$28 −1.8% | — |
| 231d | Thorny-Creek | George Russell | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$603 +30% | 9 |
| 231d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,810 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 231d | Limited-Money | Charles Leclerc | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 231d |  norrisfan | George Russell | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | −$1,070 −100% | 4 |
| 231d | AJM962 fills | George Russell | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $6,974 | +$7,174 +103% | 4 |
| 231d | AJM96 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$116 +9.9% | 4 |
| 231d |  DavidShekel | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,664 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 231d |  Endgametheory | George Russell | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | +$1,340 +100% | — |
DOLLAR-PRINTER8,380 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET). If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for George Russell means the market gives it about 100%.