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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 100% | +67 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −32 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −21 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −8 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482d |  Simbaaaa | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,023 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 482d |  chrisxyz | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $2,390 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 482d |  noreasapa | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d |  AgricultureSecretary | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,786 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | EVplusrebate | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $3,405 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | ExDeus2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,441 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 482d | oliman0 | Lando Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,363 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | S-Works | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,337 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | S-Works | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,567 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d |  Morbuu | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,804 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | S-Works | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo100¢ | $1,462 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 482d | MukuPuku | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 482d | qualbes | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | S-Works | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,822 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 482d |  fElon | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | chrisxyz | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | +$50 +2.1% | 5 |
| 482d | EVplusrebate | Max Verstappen | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$354 +27% | 10 |
| 482d | oliman0 | Lando Norris | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$2,970 +194% | 12 |
| 482d | AZwater | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | +$48 +2.5% | 5 |
| 482d | AZwater | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$23 +1.6% | 4 |
| 482d | affs207912 fills | George Russell | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | +$237 +7.3% | 5 |
| 483d | oliman0 | Lando Norris | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,696 | −$2,696 −100% | 9 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix, scheduled for June 29, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 29, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA’s official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lando Norris means the market gives it about 100%.