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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 100% | +31 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −19 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −5 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −7 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481d | FC925 | Lando Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 481d | Arbtest1 | Oscar Piastri | SellNo>99¢ | $1,761 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 481d |  MechaHitlah | Lando Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 481d | Vagnerland94 | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,614 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 481d | Predictandbreathe | Lando Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $2,496 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 481d | oVyg7f | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 481d | Snoorrason | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 481d | Snoorrason | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,749 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 481d |  Simbaaaa | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $3,325 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 482d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,962 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 482d | jackdaniell | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,242 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | AJM962 fills | Lando Norris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,475 | −$78 −0.6% | — |
| 482d |  LTGY | Lando Norris | SellYes>99¢ | $1,611 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 482d | ExDeus | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,907 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | 025d10 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $28,658 | +$2,735 +9.5% | 4 |
| 482d |  Cookedtan | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,313 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | SaylorMoon | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,338 | −$3,338 −100% | 4 |
| 482d | supp-950 | Lando Norris | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | −$834 −39% | — |
| 482d | 025d3 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,821 | +$108 +2.2% | 4 |
| 482d | 025d2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | +$156 +3.2% | 5 |
| 482d | LTGY | Lando Norris | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$216 +15% | 4 |
| 482d | biggy | Lando Norris | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$224 +16% | 4 |
| 482d |  B2ULEGELEPHANT | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$15 +1.5% | 4 |
| 482d | Kapii3 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $4,837 | +$5,206 +108% | 12 |
| 482d | SaylorMoon | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$1,200 +67% | 4 |
| 482d | Simbaaaa2 fills | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,295 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 482d | Simbaaaa | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,295 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 482d |  AgricultureSecretary | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,073 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | AgricultureSecretary | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,943 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 482d | R0ndog | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$57 +4.2% | 4 |
| 482d |  318798 | Lando Norris | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$654 +44% | 4 |
| 482d | BaltazarGombka | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$81 +2.7% | 4 |
| 482d |  Nooserac | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$47 +4.1% | 4 |
| 482d |  Endgametheory | Lando Norris | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | −$763 −47% | — |
| 482d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | xbsuwrkfmdl373 fills | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,395 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,378 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | affs20791 | Lando Norris | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$801 +45% | 4 |
| 482d | Immense-Literate | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
| 482d | SunlineTicker2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,008 | +$334 +4.2% | 4 |
| 482d | Vagnerland94 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$47 +3.0% | 4 |
| 482d | 025d | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 483d | Kapii | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 12 |
| 483d | AZwater | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,936 | +$64 +1.6% | 4 |
| 484d |  gamblingdebt | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,407 | +$1,678 +49% | 9 |
| 484d | oliman0 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$990 +49% | 9 |
| 484d | tripcccc | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$1,077 +49% | 9 |
| 484d | tripcccc | Oscar Piastri | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,188 | +$2,188 +100% | — |
| 484d | tripcccc2 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,809 | −$2,809 −100% | 9 |
| 485d | affs20791 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,809 | +$211 +4.4% | 4 |
| 487d | affs20791 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$263 +25% | 5 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix, scheduled for June 29, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 8, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30–60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lando Norris means the market gives it about 100%.