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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colapinto vs Gasly | 50% | — | −2 pts | 43¢ · 56¢ (13¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Piastri | 50% | +4 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Russell | 50% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Hamilton | 50% | +3 pts | −2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Ocon vs Bearman | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hadjar | 50% | +3 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Hamilton | 50% | −3 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Piastri vs Russell | 50% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Norris | 50% | +3 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Russell | 50% | −3 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Verstappen | 50% | +3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hamilton | 50% | −4 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Russell | 50% | −3 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Russell | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Piastri | 50% | −3 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Perez vs Bottas | 50% | — | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Russell vs Antonelli | 50% | −2 pts | +2 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg | 50% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Lindblad vs Lawson | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Albon vs Jr. | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Piastri | 50% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Verstappen | 50% | +3 pts | +1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Piastri | 50% | +3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
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Head-to-head markets for the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Colapinto vs Gasly means the market gives it about 50%.