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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +92 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $4,992 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | leegunner | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,073 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | Wonfo | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 475d |  MechaHitlah | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $2,500 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 475d |  chrisxyz | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,394 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | threrer | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,546 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 475d | threrer | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,977 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 475d |  fElon | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | −$342 −28% | — |
| 475d |  qweez1x | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,721 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 475d | threrer | Alexander Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,841 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 475d | fElon | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 475d | Kapii2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,364 | −$3,364 −100% | 12 |
| 475d | AZwater | Alexander Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,062 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 475d | AZwater | Max Verstappen | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $2,280 | −$2,280 −100% | 6 |
| 476d | AZwater | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 477d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo100¢ | $1,791 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for July 6, 2025. If the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 30, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 British Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA’s official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.