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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 0% | −79 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +77 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −55 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 100% | +69 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +19 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −13 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −10 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −50 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −25 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −6 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | −12 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −13 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −10 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −8 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | −12 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152d | 08AF2 fills | George Russell | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $5,127 | −$5,127 −100% | 4 |
| 152d | jaytee158 | George Russell | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $3,033 | −$3,033 −100% | 4 |
| 152d | Petty-FrameNew account | George Russell | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 10 |
| 152d |  AvocadosFromMexico | Lando Norris | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,590 | −$1,590 −100% | 4 |
| 152d | Narrow-Month | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$16 +0.7% | 4 |
BounceId200 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Canadian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Canadian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for George Russell means the market gives it about 0%.