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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 100% | +81 pts | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −34 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −7 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −36 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 495d |  noreasapa | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,140 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 495d | Snoorrason | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,114 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 495d |  StudyPrediction | George Russell | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 495d |  N1KOLAI5 | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $3,568 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 495d | jw8597 | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,953 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 495d | 025d3 fills | George Russell | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,832 | +$85 +1.8% | 4 |
| 495d | affs20791 | George Russell | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$102 +9.1% | 4 |
| 495d | affs20791 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$148 +8.0% | 4 |
| 495d | pkoshkin | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,798 | +$29 +0.6% | 4 |
| 495d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,370 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 495d |  fElon2 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,961 | +$44 +0.7% | 4 |
| 495d | qwertyasdfghjkl2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$348 +12% | 4 |
| 495d | 025d11 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $70,149 | +$2,247 +3.2% | 4 |
| 495d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$52 +2.6% | 4 |
| 495d | Wonfo | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 495d | popicamitica | George Russell | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$621 +28% | 4 |
| 495d |  gamblingdebt3 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $5,052 | +$2,549 +50% | 9 |
| 495d |  Voltaire-674 | George Russell | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $9,757 | −$9,757 −100% | 4 |
| 495d | affs207912 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,058 | +$242 +7.9% | 4 |
| 495d | affs20791 | George Russell | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $2,023 | −$2,023 −100% | 4 |
| 495d | Sweg | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$562 +54% | 4 |
| 495d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | +$118 +7.5% | 4 |
| 496d | huterq | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,336 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 496d | lucimuis | Lando Norris | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,486 | +$414 +6.4% | 4 |
| 496d | SunlineTicker | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$105 +7.5% | 4 |
| 496d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,044 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 496d | mysterygambler216 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,126 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 496d | xbsuwrkfmdl374 fills | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,123 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 496d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 496d | EVplusrebate | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$761 +47% | 4 |
| 496d | mysterygambler216 | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$98 +7.5% | 4 |
| 496d |  Behumble | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$94 +7.5% | 4 |
| 496d | N1KOLAI5 | Lando Norris | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | +$221 +6.6% | 4 |
| 496d | AZwater | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | +$133 +7.5% | 6 |
| 505d | PAMF | Max Verstappen | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$174 +16% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for June 15, 2025. If the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 15, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30–60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for George Russell means the market gives it about 100%.