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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +30 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −10 pts | −65 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −12 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hülkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d |  one8tyfive | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,240 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 320d | akstar | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,182 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | influenz.eth2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,288 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 320d |  iPandorium | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,291 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 320d | Jumbalumba | Max Verstappen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 320d | Tobias1909 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$94 +7.5% | 4 |
| 320d |  1lI | Max Verstappen | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$162 +15% | 4 |
| 325d | 4gibg4i3o | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,109 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 325d |  fffffz | Max Verstappen | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,028 | −$1,673 −82% | — |
| 326d | Iann3141 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,037 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 326d | fffffz | Max Verstappen | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$1,379 +136% | 6 |
| 327d | AJM96 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,671 | −$1,671 −100% | 4 |
| 328d | Adrian102 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,519 | −$1,519 −100% | 4 |
| 331d | sayala | Lando Norris | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,973 | −$1,077 −22% | — |
| 331d | liujiea | Lando Norris | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,357 | −$943 −22% | — |
| 331d | emory | Lando Norris | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,685 | −$1,015 −22% | — |
| 331d | mellia | Lando Norris | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,644 | −$1,006 −22% | — |
| 331d | liujiea | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | +$981 +23% | 4 |
| 331d | mellia | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,605 | +$1,045 +23% | 4 |
| 331d | sayala | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,931 | +$1,119 +23% | 4 |
| 331d | emory | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,646 | +$1,055 +23% | 4 |
| 334d | fffffz | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$846 +79% | 4 |
| 337d | jiajie | Oscar Piastri | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $4,173 | −$4,343 −104% | — |
| 337d | chahua | Oscar Piastri | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $4,255 | −$4,255 −100% | — |
| 337d | jiajie | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $4,088 | +$4,428 +108% | 4 |
| 337d | chahua | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $4,243 | +$4,597 +108% | 4 |
| 347d | Spon | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,904 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 380d | Wagmi420 | Lando Norris | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,336 | −$2,336 −100% | 4 |
| 409d |  geniusMC | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,201 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | Spon | Gabriel Bortoleto | SellNo>99¢ | $16,589 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 424d | Spon4 fills | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,556 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 431d | XZZD | Max Verstappen | SellNo97¢ → 0¢ | $3,424 | +$3,424 +100% | — |
| 444d | Spon | Jack Doohan | SellNo>99¢ | $5,131 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 457d | 252 | Gabriel Bortoleto | SellNo>99¢ | $5,340 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 474d | bestfriends | George Russell | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 486d | dalby | Carlos Sainz Jr. | SellNo100¢ | $1,284 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 486d | RokoBlaze | Fernando Alonso | SellNo>99¢ | $1,077 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 487d | bestfriends | Gabriel Bortoleto | SellNo>99¢ | $9,140 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 491d | Spon | Nico Hülkenberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,812 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 494d | SaylorMoon | Gabriel Bortoleto | SellNo>99¢ | $4,980 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 494d | Spon2 fills | Jack Doohan | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,027 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 501d | Spon | Oliver Bearman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,783 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 506d | Snoorrason | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,452 | +$15 +0.4% | 4 |
| 507d | Jyrican | Lando Norris | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $12,353 | +$12,353 +100% | — |
| 507d | Quinex | Lando Norris | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $15,723 | +$12,354 +79% | 4 |
| 515d | varnon | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,785 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 516d | varnon | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,786 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 525d | Lordsinatra | Other | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 526d | Zarveth | Lando Norris | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $22,894 | +$22,894 +100% | — |
| 526d | Lomrix | Lando Norris | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $40,066 | +$23,531 +59% | 4 |
| 528d | Xairven | Oscar Piastri | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $10,473 | +$10,473 +100% | — |
| 528d | Xairven | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $10,790 | −$10,790 −100% | 4 |
| 528d | Bryleia | Lando Norris | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $11,558 | +$11,558 +100% | — |
| 528d | Lordsinatra | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,866 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 528d | Bryleia | Lando Norris | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $11,880 | −$11,880 −100% | 4 |
| 528d | ZvonimirDrift | Carlos Sainz Jr. | SellNo>99¢ | $1,623 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 528d | keeler | Pierre Gasly | SellNo>99¢ | $1,216 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 528d | varden-942 | Esteban Ocon | SellNo>99¢ | $2,193 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 529d | ludington | Yuki Tsunoda | SellNo>99¢ | $1,667 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 529d | ludington | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,668 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 2nd in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known this market will resolve. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to place 2nd in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season has not been completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.