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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +86 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +49 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −60 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 100% | +23 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −9 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −71 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −31 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −2 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −5 pts | −44 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | −1 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −1 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −1 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −1 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | −1 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d |  AgricultureSecretary | Max Verstappen | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,203 | +$356 +11% | 5 |
| 90d | AJM96 | George Russell | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 4 |
| 96d | BlueBase-5682 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $2,395 | −$2,395 −100% | 4 |
OhneScharf2,300 shares
poshposh325 shares
ddnpl250 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Hungarian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Hungarian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Hungarian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.