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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verstappen vs Hadjar | 100% | −7 pts | +18 pts | 83¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Hamilton | 0% | −63 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Perez vs Bottas | 100% | +41 pts | +41 pts | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hamilton | 100% | +39 pts | +41 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Albon vs Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Russell | 0% | −39 pts | −63 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Verstappen | 0% | −35 pts | −32 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Norris | 0% | −66 pts | −44 pts | — · 17¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Piastri | 0% | −71 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Verstappen | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Russell | 0% | −51 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ocon vs Bearman | 0% | −51 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell vs Antonelli | 0% | −77 pts | −73 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Russell | 0% | −46 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Piastri | 100% | +50 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Colapinto vs Gasly | 0% | −9 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Piastri vs Russell | 0% | −51 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Russell | 0% | −14 pts | −43 pts | — · 16¢ | — | ended |
| Alonso vs Stroll | 0% | −74 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg | 100% | +51 pts | +31 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Lindblad vs Lawson | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Hamilton | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Piastri | 100% | +54 pts | +55 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Piastri | 0% | −40 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Head-to-head markets for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Verstappen vs Hadjar means the market gives it about 100%.