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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell vs Antonelli | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ocon vs Bearman | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Hamilton | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hadjar | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colapinto vs Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Hamilton | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Russell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lindblad vs Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Perez vs Bottas | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Verstappen | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Russell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Verstappen | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Norris | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Albon vs Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Russell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Piastri vs Russell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hamilton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Russell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
00xx112230 sharesHead-to-head markets for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Russell vs Antonelli means the market gives it about 0%.