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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Leclerc | 50% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 97¢ (95¢) | — | in 14d |
| Kimi Antonelli | 50% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 97¢ (95¢) | — | in 14d |
| Max Verstappen | 50% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 97¢ (95¢) | — | in 14d |
| George Russell | 50% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 97¢ (95¢) | — | in 14d |
| Oscar Piastri | 49% | — | +4 pts | — · 97¢ | — | in 14d |
| Isack Hadjar | 49% | — | −1 pts | — · 97¢ | — | in 14d |
| Lando Norris | 48% | — | −3 pts | 2¢ · 94¢ (92¢) | — | in 14d |
| Lewis Hamilton | 48% | — | −3 pts | 2¢ · 94¢ (92¢) | — | in 14d |
| Pierre Gasly | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Fernando Alonso | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Alexander Albon | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Sergio Perez | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Esteban Ocon | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Franco Colapinto | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Valtteri Bottas | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Oliver Bearman | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Arvid Lindblad | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Liam Lawson | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Lance Stroll | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 25% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | in 14d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 7, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Charles Leclerc means the market gives it about 50%.