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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 100% | +71 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alpine | 0% | −1 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aston Martin | 0% | −1 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Williams | 0% | −1 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Audi Revolut | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cadillac | 0% | −1 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ferrari | 0% | −25 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tgr Haas | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mclaren Mastercard | 0% | −44 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Red Bull | 0% | −14 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Racing Bulls | 0% | −1 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d |  GroyperFinance | Mclaren Mastercard | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 174d | tphhh | Mercedes | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mercedes means the market gives it about 100%.