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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −54 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 100% | +47 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −16 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −69 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 100% | +57 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +21 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −34 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −49 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −51 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −7 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −5 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −13 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d | ycscwin | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,755 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  fElon2 fills | Lance Stroll | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,394 | +$19 +0.4% | 4 |
| 174d | fElon | Liam Lawson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,185 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 174d |  DuneMentat2 fills | Carlos Sainz Jr. | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,919 | +$90 +1.5% | 4 |
| 174d |  AvocadosFromMexico2 fills | Carlos Sainz Jr. | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,480 | +$126 +2.0% | 4 |
| 174d | ycscwin | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$247 +18% | 4 |
| 174d | AvocadosFromMexico2 fills | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,211 | +$29 +1.3% | 4 |
| 174d | AvocadosFromMexico | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | +$785 +25% | 4 |
| 174d | AvocadosFromMexico | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $2,910 | −$2,910 −100% | 4 |
| 174d | WINAMAX.FR | Valtteri Bottas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 |
| 175d | WINAMAX.FR | Arvid Lindblad | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | +$18 +0.9% | 4 |
| 175d | WINAMAX.FR | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | +$34 +1.1% | 4 |
| 175d |  DavidShekel2 fills | Sergio Perez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,614 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 175d | turnaroundtime | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$25 +0.9% | 4 |
| 175d | Fond-Lad | Valtteri Bottas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Miami Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Miami Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 0%.