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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verstappen vs Piastri | 100% | +48 pts | +45 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Russell | 100% | +40 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Piastri | 100% | +47 pts | +44 pts | 84¢ · 100¢ (16¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Hamilton | 100% | +41 pts | +29 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hamilton | 100% | +31 pts | +34 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Verstappen vs Hadjar | 100% | 0 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Verstappen | 0% | −38 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albon vs Jr. | 100% | +49 pts | +49 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Piastri vs Russell | 0% | −50 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Russell | 100% | +33 pts | +35 pts | 84¢ · 100¢ (16¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Norris | 0% | −50 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Verstappen | 0% | −32 pts | −33 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Perez vs Bottas | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell vs Antonelli | 0% | −31 pts | −33 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Piastri | 0% | −34 pts | −27 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Norris vs Hamilton | 100% | +54 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leclerc vs Russell | 100% | +36 pts | +29 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Hamilton vs Russell | 0% | −41 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Colapinto vs Gasly | 100% | +41 pts | +41 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Lindblad vs Lawson | 0% | −37 pts | −34 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Alonso vs Stroll | 100% | +41 pts | +41 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Ocon vs Bearman | 100% | +41 pts | +41 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Norris vs Piastri | 100% | +45 pts | +43 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
Head-to-head markets for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Verstappen vs Piastri means the market gives it about 100%.