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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510d | leegunner | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $1,916 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 510d | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $2,054 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 510d | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 510d | SaylorMoon | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,686 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 510d | Oscar Piastri | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,669 | −$17 −1.0% | — | |
| 510d | yes72 | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,833 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 510d | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,366 | −$1,366 −100% | 12 | |
| 510d | AJM96 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$1,506 +104% | 9 |
| 511d | affs20791 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,406 | +$95 +2.8% | 4 |
| 511d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,094 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 511d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,693 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 511d | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$82 +5.3% | 5 | |
| 512d | Kapii2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,872 | −$2,872 −100% | 6 |
| 513d | AJM96 | Lando Norris | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 6 |
| 514d | ZoekaBliet | Max Verstappen | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,303 | −$1,303 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for June 1, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Oscar Piastri means the market gives it about 100%.