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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +60 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −35 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −11 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −7 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −4 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | TENETINO | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $5,977 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | Poolymath | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $4,496 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $3,998 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 41d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 41d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,140 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 41d | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,723 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 41d | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,384 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 41d | kodeoed | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,271 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 41d | kodeoed | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,172 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 41d | Clawbangers | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,018 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 41d | Predictandbreathe | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 41d | JoeytheReal | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $3,323 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 41d | tututuututt | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $4,689 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 41d | Veetu1234 | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 41d | OrwellFactory | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 41d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,982 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 41d | crumbl | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 41d | crumbl | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,033 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 41d | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,731 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 41d | maxiplayer | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 41d | mishipolis | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$75 −5.3% | — |
| 41d | pagliacci4 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 41d | Tobias19092 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $6,627 | +$8,001 +121% | 4 |
| 41d | mishipolis | Lando Norris | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$60 −4.2% | — |
| 41d | pagliacci42 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,615 | +$95 +2.6% | 4 |
| 41d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | +$392 +17% | 5 | |
| 41d | retroactivesource | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$498 +17% | 5 |
| 41d | nicdan2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$76 +3.2% | 4 |
| 41d | Meyoyd | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$114 +11% | 5 |
| 41d | Poolymath | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$780 +35% | 6 |
| 41d | 0F627 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,429 | +$1,329 +8.6% | 4 |
| 41d | 0F623 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,331 | +$578 +9.1% | 5 |
| 41d | mishipolis2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,637 | +$2,308 +88% | 6 |
| 41d | Tobias1909 | Charles Leclerc | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,644 | −$1,644 −100% | 6 |
| 41d | Tobias1909 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $5,060 | −$2,768 −55% | — |
| 41d | nicdan | Charles Leclerc | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$185 −16% | — |
| 41d | Momo63 | Lando Norris | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | +$263 +11% | 5 |
| 41d | camscot4 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $6,500 | −$6,500 −100% | 6 |
| 41d | Clawbangers | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,913 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | hqcake03 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$87 +8.7% | 5 |
| 41d | Veetu1234 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$274 +14% | 4 |
| 41d | JoeytheReal | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,933 +138% | 4 |
| 41d | Elated-Sweatshop | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$1,602 +144% | 4 |
| 41d | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,339 | +$1,339 +100% | — | |
| 41d | bromberg | Max Verstappen | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$163 +16% | 4 |
| 41d | SplendidAmadeus | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$175 +5.6% | 4 |
| 41d | d008 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$136 +14% | 4 |
| 41d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$3,694 +147% | 4 | |
| 41d | Clawbangers | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$115 +6.4% | 4 |
| 41d | 0F623 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$320 +5.3% | 4 |
| 42d | Grateful-Leadership | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$2,920 +140% | 4 |
| 43d | Jest55 | Lando Norris | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$284 +24% | 4 |
| 46d | OrwellFactory | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 4 |
| 47d | Ermann | George Russell | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$507 +19% | 4 |
| 47d | BlueBase-568 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,179 | −$2,179 −100% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.