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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell vs Antonelli | 26% | −20 pts | −25 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | $5 | in 8d |
| Leclerc vs Norris | 70% | +20 pts | +20 pts | 40¢ · 99¢ (59¢) | $5 | in 8d |
| Leclerc vs Verstappen | 50% | +25 pts | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | $5 | in 8d |
| Verstappen vs Russell | 50% | −25 pts | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | $5 | in 8d |
| Colapinto vs Gasly | 36% | — | −14 pts | 1¢ · 70¢ (69¢) | — | in 8d |
| Alonso vs Stroll | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Albon vs Jr. | 36% | — | −14 pts | 1¢ · 70¢ (69¢) | — | in 8d |
| Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg | 41% | — | −10 pts | 1¢ · 80¢ (79¢) | — | in 8d |
| Perez vs Bottas | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Leclerc vs Hamilton | 50% | — | — | 30¢ · 70¢ (40¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ocon vs Bearman | 50% | +10 pts | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Norris vs Piastri | 75% | — | +25 pts | 50¢ · 99¢ (49¢) | — | in 8d |
| Verstappen vs Hadjar | 68% | — | +18 pts | 50¢ · 85¢ (35¢) | — | in 8d |
| Leclerc vs Piastri | 75% | — | +25 pts | 50¢ · 99¢ (49¢) | — | in 8d |
| Leclerc vs Russell | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Norris vs Verstappen | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Norris vs Hamilton | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Norris vs Russell | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Verstappen vs Hamilton | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Verstappen vs Piastri | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Hamilton vs Piastri | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Hamilton vs Russell | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| Piastri vs Russell | 36% | — | −14 pts | 1¢ · 70¢ (69¢) | — | in 8d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Head-to-head markets for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 26¢ for Russell vs Antonelli means the market gives it about 26%.