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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 44% | −2 pts | — | 43¢ · 45¢ (2¢) | $4.32K | in 8d |
| Charles Leclerc | 21% | +10 pts | +14 pts | 18¢ · 23¢ (5¢) | $11.9K | in 8d |
| Kimi Antonelli | 19% | — | −9 pts | 17¢ · 20¢ (3¢) | $2.89K | in 8d |
| Lewis Hamilton | 16% | +6 pts | +8 pts | 13¢ · 18¢ (5¢) | $2.82K | in 8d |
| Lando Norris | 5% | −5 pts | −3 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | $1.69K | in 8d |
| George Russell | 4% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | $7K | in 8d |
| Oscar Piastri | 2% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $381 | in 8d |
| Oliver Bearman | 1% | — | −3 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Franco Colapinto | 1% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Esteban Ocon | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 1% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · 2¢ | $94.2 | in 8d |
| Liam Lawson | 1% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Pierre Gasly | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · 2¢ | $5 | in 8d |
| Isack Hadjar | 1% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $372 | in 8d |
| Fernando Alonso | 1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $165 | in 8d |
| Sergio Perez | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $105 | in 8d |
| Lance Stroll | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $105 | in 8d |
| Valtteri Bottas | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $115 | in 8d |
| Alexander Albon | 1% | 0 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $268 | in 8d |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $11 | in 8d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 44¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 44%.